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France October preliminary CPI (HICP) +0.9% vs +1.0% y/y expected

Prior +1.1%CPI M/M +0.1% vs +0.1% expectedPrior -1.1%Full report hereFrom the agency:Over a year, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) should rise by 1.0% in October 2025, after
+1.2% in September, according to the provisional estimate made at the end of the month.
This slowdown in prices should be explained by a more sustained fall in prices of
energy, driven by the decrease in those of gas and petroleum products, and by a slowdown
in food prices. The prices of services should increase at the same rate than in September,
like those of tobacco, and the prices of manufactured products should fall at a slightly
faster rate than in the previous month.Over one month, consumer prices should rise by 0.1% in October 2025, after ‑1.0% in
September. This slight rise in prices should be explained by the increase in services
prices, particularly in transport, and to a lesser extent in manufactured products
prices. Conversely, prices of energy and food should fall slightly. Tobacco prices
should be stable again over a month.
This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.

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💡 DMK Insight

CPI data showing a slowdown to 1.0% in October 2025 is a crucial indicator for traders right now. This decline from 1.2% in September suggests easing inflationary pressures, which could influence central bank policy decisions. Traders should watch how this impacts interest rate expectations, particularly in forex markets where currency pairs react sharply to inflation data. A lower CPI might lead to a more dovish stance from the Fed, potentially weakening the dollar against major currencies. Keep an eye on the USD/EUR and USD/JPY pairs for volatility as traders adjust their positions based on these inflation figures. On the flip side, if inflation remains stubbornly high despite this drop, it could lead to a market correction as traders reassess their strategies. So, monitor the upcoming economic reports closely, especially any revisions to CPI forecasts or comments from Fed officials. The immediate focus should be on how the market reacts in the next few trading sessions, especially if we see any significant moves in the bond markets as yields adjust to these inflation expectations.

📮 Takeaway

Watch the USD/EUR and USD/JPY pairs closely for volatility as traders react to the CPI slowdown and potential Fed policy shifts.

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