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No one looks smart calling for stock markets to go up, but you can look smart or you can be right so here’s what I’m thinking:The market got skittish in October.To me, it wasn’t any single thing but a whole bunch at once:September saw an intense rally in stock marketsTrump and China picking a new trade fightThe government shutdownThe regular geopolitical uncertaintyLet’s skip ahead to the end of the month and think about what’s possible.Stocks have consolidated and October seasonals are good (getting even better in Nov/Dec)Trump continues to insist China is fine and leaders will meet Nov 1The government shutdown will inevitably endThere is the tail risk of a ceasefire in UkraineNow I’m not saying any of those things are going to happen, and the timeline on others could bleed into November but I think the risks to all of those are positive developments. The drag could be corporate earnings reports, which will really start to heat up but so far companies have been fairly upbeat. At worst I think it’s a two-way risk.
This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.
💡 DMK Insight
October's market jitters reflect a classic case of too many cooks in the kitchen, with geopolitical tensions, inflation fears, and earnings reports all stirring the pot. Investors are understandably on edge, as the once buoyant optimism from September's rally has been replaced by a cautious wait-and-see approach. This volatility serves as a reminder that markets can be as fickle as a cat on a hot tin roof, and those who ignore the signals may find themselves in a precarious position. As we head into the final quarter, the ability to navigate this uncertainty will separate the savvy from the simply lucky.
📮 Takeaway
Stay alert for market signals; October's volatility could be a precursor to year-end shifts.
