Where? In tech relative to SPY on a daily basis, just daily for now. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Tech stocks are showing a divergence from SPY on a daily basis, and here’s why that matters: the tech sector’s performance can often lead broader market trends. If tech continues to outperform, it could signal a rotation into growth stocks, which might attract more institutional money. Conversely, if tech falters, it could drag down the overall market, especially if SPY remains stagnant. Traders should keep an eye on key tech indicators like the NASDAQ’s performance relative to SPY, as this could influence their trading strategies. Look for specific levels to watch: if tech stocks break above recent highs, it could indicate a strong bullish trend, while a drop below recent support levels might trigger sell-offs across the board. The real story is whether this divergence is a temporary blip or a sign of a more significant market shift. Keep your eyes peeled for earnings reports and economic data that could impact tech sentiment, as these will be crucial in shaping the next moves. 📮 Takeaway Watch for tech stocks to either break recent highs or fall below support levels; this divergence from SPY could dictate broader market trends.

New Zealand Retail Sales (QoQ) above forecasts (0.6%) in 4Q: Actual (0.9%) 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight New Zealand’s retail sales just beat expectations, and here’s why that matters: A 0.9% increase in retail sales for Q4, surpassing the forecast of 0.6%, signals stronger consumer spending and economic resilience. This uptick could influence the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ) monetary policy decisions, potentially leading to tighter interest rates if consumer confidence continues to rise. Traders should keep an eye on the NZD, as a stronger economy often correlates with a bullish outlook for the currency. If the NZD/USD breaks above key resistance levels, it could trigger further buying from both retail and institutional traders. But don’t ignore the flip side: if inflation pressures mount alongside this growth, the RBNZ might face a tricky balancing act. A sudden shift in policy could lead to volatility in the forex markets, particularly affecting pairs like NZD/JPY and NZD/AUD. Watch for upcoming economic indicators and RBNZ statements for clues on their next moves, especially in the coming weeks as we approach the next policy meeting. 📮 Takeaway Monitor the NZD/USD for potential breakouts above resistance levels, especially in light of upcoming RBNZ policy signals.

New Zealand Retail Sales ex Autos (QoQ): 1.5% (4Q) vs 1.2% 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight New Zealand’s retail sales growth of 1.5% signals consumer resilience, but here’s why it matters for traders: This uptick, surpassing the expected 1.2%, indicates a robust consumer spending environment, which could influence the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ) monetary policy decisions. If spending remains strong, the RBNZ might consider tightening rates sooner than anticipated, impacting the NZD’s strength against major currencies. Traders should keep an eye on the NZD/USD pair, especially if it approaches key resistance levels. A sustained rally could push the pair above recent highs, while any signs of weakening consumer sentiment could trigger a sell-off. But don’t overlook the flip side: if global economic conditions worsen, even strong local sales might not be enough to support the NZD. Watch for upcoming economic indicators and central bank statements that could sway market sentiment. The next few weeks are crucial for gauging whether this retail momentum can hold up against potential external shocks. 📮 Takeaway Monitor the NZD/USD pair closely; a break above recent resistance could signal further strength if consumer spending remains robust.

New Zealand’s Retail Sales, a measure of the country’s consumer spending, climbed 0.9% QoQ in the fourth quarter (Q4) of 2025 from the previous reading of 1.9%, according to the official data published by Statistics New Zealand on Monday. This figure came in above the market consensus of 0.6%. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight New Zealand’s retail sales growth of 0.9% in Q4 2025 is a positive signal for traders: This figure not only beats the consensus of 0.6% but also indicates resilient consumer spending despite potential economic headwinds. For forex traders, this could strengthen the NZD against major pairs, especially if the trend continues into the next quarter. Keep an eye on the NZD/USD; if it breaks above recent resistance levels, it could signal further bullish momentum. However, it’s worth noting that the previous reading was significantly higher at 1.9%, suggesting a deceleration in growth. Traders should consider this slowdown as a potential risk factor. If the upcoming data releases show further weakness, we might see a reversal in the NZD’s current strength. Watch for the next retail sales report and any comments from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand regarding monetary policy, as these could impact market sentiment and trading strategies significantly. 📮 Takeaway Monitor the NZD/USD closely; a break above recent resistance could signal bullish momentum, but watch for signs of slowing growth in upcoming data.

US President Donald Trump said that he would increase global tariffs to 15% from 10%, CNBC reported on Saturday. His remarks came one day after the Supreme Court struck down a broad swath of the president’s trade agenda. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Trump’s tariff hike to 15% could shake up market sentiment significantly. With the Supreme Court’s recent ruling against his trade agenda, this move might be a desperate attempt to regain control over trade policy. Traders should keep an eye on how this impacts the forex market, particularly USD pairs, as a stronger dollar could result from increased tariffs. Historically, tariff increases have led to volatility in equities and commodities, so expect potential ripple effects across sectors like agriculture and manufacturing. Watch for key technical levels in major indices; a break below recent support could signal a bearish trend. Also, monitor how global markets react—if major economies retaliate, it could escalate tensions and lead to broader market declines. On the flip side, this could present buying opportunities in sectors that benefit from domestic production. Keep an eye on the next few trading sessions for any significant price movements, especially in commodities that are sensitive to trade policies. 📮 Takeaway Watch for USD volatility and key support levels in major indices as Trump’s tariff increase unfolds—this could trigger significant market reactions.

Gold price (XAU/USD) edges higher to near $5,095 during the early Asian session on Monday. The precious metal extends the rally amid US President Donald Trump’s tariff threats and uncertainty, boosting safe-haven flows.  🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Gold’s rise to near $5,095 is a direct response to geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty. With President Trump’s tariff threats stirring market anxiety, traders are flocking to gold as a safe haven. This behavior aligns with historical trends where gold prices surge during periods of instability. If this rally continues, watch for resistance around $5,150, which could trigger profit-taking or a reversal. On the flip side, if tariffs are resolved or economic indicators improve, we might see a pullback. Keep an eye on the daily charts for any signs of overbought conditions, as RSI levels approaching 70 could signal a correction. Also, monitor related assets like the US dollar and equities, as their movements can influence gold’s trajectory significantly. In the short term, traders should be prepared for volatility as market sentiment shifts rapidly based on news developments. 📮 Takeaway Watch for gold’s resistance at $5,150; a break could signal further gains, while a pullback may occur if tariffs are resolved.