S&P 500 bumping into overhead resistance 7,000 – 7,020 yesterday (good spot for our taking of swing long profits), and today premarket positioning for nimble intraday clients (short Nasdaq) was also a winning one – but one had to be fast, and have real-time access to all my thoughts (swing and intra 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight ADA’s current price of $0.26 is a crucial level for traders to watch. With the S&P 500 hitting resistance around 7,000 – 7,020, market sentiment is shifting, and ADA could be influenced by broader equity movements. If the S&P fails to break through that resistance, we might see a risk-off sentiment that could drag ADA down further. Conversely, if the S&P breaks above, it could provide a bullish lift to ADA as investors seek alternative assets. Traders should monitor ADA’s support levels closely; a drop below $0.25 could trigger further selling pressure. On the flip side, a rally above $0.28 might attract buyers looking for a rebound. Keep an eye on intraday movements and be ready to act quickly, especially with the volatility we’re seeing in the Nasdaq and broader markets. 📮 Takeaway Watch ADA closely; a drop below $0.25 could signal further downside, while a break above $0.28 might attract bullish momentum.
Singapore GDP: Upgraded growth outlook on AI momentum – UOB
UOB Global Economics & Markets Research reports that Singapore’s 4Q25 GDP was revised significantly higher, driven by stronger manufacturing, services and construction. This lifted full‑year 2025 growth and prompted the authorities to raise the official 2026 forecast range. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Singapore’s GDP revision is a game-changer for traders focused on Southeast Asian markets. A stronger-than-expected 4Q25 GDP, fueled by robust manufacturing, services, and construction, signals a resilient economy. This upward revision not only boosts the full-year 2025 growth outlook but also prompts the authorities to raise the 2026 forecast range. For traders, this could mean increased confidence in the Singapore dollar and related assets. Watch for potential bullish momentum in the Singapore Exchange (SGX) and sectors like construction and manufacturing that could benefit directly from this economic uptick. However, it’s worth noting that while the immediate outlook seems positive, external factors like global economic conditions and trade tensions could still pose risks. Keep an eye on key technical levels for the Singapore dollar against major currencies, especially if it approaches resistance levels that could trigger profit-taking. The next few weeks will be crucial as traders digest this news and its implications for market sentiment. 📮 Takeaway Monitor the Singapore dollar’s performance against major currencies; a breakout above key resistance could signal further bullish momentum.
EUR/USD retreats as US jobs data and hawkish Fed dampen rate-cut bets
The EUR/USD pair retreats below 1.1900 on Wednesday as the Greenback stages a recovery on a strong jobs report in the United States, which underscored the strength of the economy. At the time of writing, EUR/USD trades at 1.1885, down 0.07%. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight The EUR/USD dip below 1.1900 signals a potential shift in market sentiment as the dollar gains traction. The recent U.S. jobs report has reignited confidence in the Greenback, suggesting traders should reassess their positions. A strong labor market often leads to expectations of tighter monetary policy, which could further bolster the dollar. If EUR/USD continues to slide, watch for support around 1.1850; a break below this level could trigger more selling pressure. On the flip side, if the euro finds strength, it might bounce back, but that seems less likely given the current economic backdrop. Keep an eye on upcoming economic indicators from both the U.S. and Eurozone, as they could provide further direction. For now, the immediate focus should be on the 1.1900 resistance level—if it holds, we might see a consolidation phase, but if it breaks, expect a deeper retracement. 📮 Takeaway Watch the 1.1900 level closely; a sustained break could lead to further declines in EUR/USD, targeting 1.1850 next.
China: Deficit miss seen supporting growth – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered economists Hunter Chan, Shuang Ding and Carol Liao note that China’s broad fiscal deficit reached 8.1% of GDP in 2025, below target but still expansionary. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight China’s fiscal deficit at 8.1% of GDP signals ongoing economic challenges and potential volatility in markets. For traders, this expansionary fiscal stance could lead to increased government spending, impacting commodities and currencies linked to China’s economy. Watch for how this deficit influences the yuan and related forex pairs, especially if it prompts further easing from the People’s Bank of China. The broader implications could ripple through global markets, particularly in commodities like copper and oil, which are sensitive to Chinese demand. Keep an eye on key technical levels in the yuan; a breach of recent support could trigger significant moves in forex markets. But here’s the flip side: while a high deficit might seem alarming, it could also be a catalyst for growth if managed well. Traders should monitor upcoming economic data releases from China that could provide insight into whether this deficit translates into productive investment or just more debt. The next few months will be crucial for gauging market sentiment around China’s fiscal health. 📮 Takeaway Watch the yuan closely; a breach of recent support levels could indicate increased volatility in forex markets tied to China’s fiscal policies.
Malaysia: Stable outlook supports Ringgit – UOB
UOB Global Economics & Markets Research economists Julia Goh and Loke Siew Ting highlight that Malaysia’s labour market strengthened further in 4Q25, with unemployment falling to 2.9% and participation steady at 70.9%. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Malaysia’s unemployment rate hitting 2.9% is a big deal for traders right now. A low unemployment rate typically signals a robust economy, which can lead to increased consumer spending and potentially higher interest rates. This could impact the Malaysian Ringgit (MYR) positively against other currencies, especially if the Bank Negara Malaysia considers tightening monetary policy. Traders should keep an eye on how this economic strength influences forex pairs like MYR/USD or MYR/SGD. However, there’s a flip side: if the labor market tightens too much, it could lead to inflationary pressures, prompting a more aggressive rate hike than anticipated. This could create volatility in the forex market. Watch for any statements from the central bank in the coming weeks, as they may provide insights into their monetary policy direction. Key levels to monitor would be the MYR’s performance against major currencies, particularly if it approaches historical resistance or support levels. 📮 Takeaway Keep an eye on the MYR’s performance against major currencies, especially if unemployment trends continue to influence monetary policy decisions.
Fed's Hammack: Labor market stabilizing, policy around neutral
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack is crossing the wires. She said that the Unemployment Rate is stabilizing, following the release of the strong January Nonfarm Payrolls report in the US. 🔗 Source
AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Slides over 1%, yet it remains bullish biased
The Aussie Dollar depreciates against the Japanese Yen on Wednesday, down by more than 1%, courtesy of broad Yen’s strength, courtesy of the landslide victory of Prime Minister Takaichi over the weekend. At the time of writing the AUD/JPY trades at 109.23. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight The Aussie Dollar’s drop against the Yen signals a shift in market sentiment following Takaichi’s victory. With the AUD/JPY trading at 109.23, this decline reflects broader trends in risk appetite and currency strength. Traders should note that the Yen’s recent strength is likely tied to expectations of more aggressive monetary policy from Japan, which could further pressure the AUD. This situation is critical for day traders and swing traders alike, as the 109.00 level could act as a psychological support. If breached, it may open the door for further downside. On the flip side, if the AUD finds support and rebounds, it could indicate a potential reversal, especially if commodity prices strengthen. Keep an eye on the upcoming economic data releases from both Australia and Japan, as they could provide additional volatility. Monitoring the 109.00 and 110.00 levels will be key in determining the next moves in this pair. 📮 Takeaway Watch the AUD/JPY closely around the 109.00 support level; a break could lead to further declines, while a rebound may signal a reversal.
PBOC: Limited inflation constraint, easing likely – ING
ING expects Chinese inflation dynamics to have limited impact on People’s Bank of China policy in 2026. Lynn Song argues that CPI will again undershoot an expected 2% target, but this shortfall should not constrain monetary decisions. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight China’s inflation outlook is a mixed bag, and here’s why it matters for traders right now: With ING predicting that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) will fall short of the 2% target, traders should keep an eye on how this could influence the People’s Bank of China’s (PBoC) monetary policy. A lower CPI might suggest a sluggish economy, but if the PBoC remains unfazed, it could signal a commitment to maintaining liquidity, which is crucial for risk assets. This scenario could lead to a divergence in trading strategies, particularly for those focused on Chinese equities and commodities. If the PBoC doesn’t adjust rates, we might see a continued bullish trend in sectors reliant on cheap credit, while those expecting tightening could face losses. However, there’s a flip side: if inflation remains persistently low, it could raise concerns about economic stagnation, prompting shifts in investor sentiment. Traders should monitor key economic indicators, especially any unexpected shifts in CPI data or PBoC statements in the coming months. Watch for any significant price movements in the yuan and related assets, as these could provide early signals of market sentiment changes. 📮 Takeaway Keep an eye on CPI trends and PBoC policy shifts; a persistent low CPI could impact Chinese equities and the yuan significantly.
USD/MYR: Range trade near multi‑year lows – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Moses Lim highlights stronger-than-expected Malaysian industrial production, driven by electronics and export-oriented manufacturing, with mining weakness seen as temporary. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Malaysian industrial production is outperforming expectations, and here’s why that matters for traders: The uptick in production, particularly in electronics and export-oriented sectors, signals a potential rebound in Malaysia’s economic health. This could lead to increased demand for the Malaysian Ringgit (MYR) as foreign investment flows in, especially if the trend continues. Traders should keep an eye on the MYR against major pairs, particularly USD/MYR, as a strengthening currency could indicate broader market confidence. However, the noted weakness in mining suggests that not all sectors are thriving, which could temper bullish sentiment if it persists. Watch for any updates on mining performance in the coming weeks, as this could shift the narrative. On a technical level, if USD/MYR breaks below recent support levels, it could trigger further buying in the MYR. Conversely, if mining issues linger, it might create volatility. Keep an eye on the upcoming economic data releases for further insights into Malaysia’s industrial landscape, as these will be crucial for positioning in both forex and related equities. 📮 Takeaway Monitor USD/MYR closely; a break below support could signal a stronger MYR, while mining sector updates will be key for volatility.
UK GDP expected to show weak economic growth in Q4
Markets will be watching closely on Thursday, when the United Kingdom’s (UK) Office for National Statistics (ONS) will release the advance estimate of Q4 Gross Domestic Product (GDP). 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight The upcoming UK GDP estimate could shake up market sentiment significantly. Traders should be prepared for volatility, especially if the figures deviate from expectations. A stronger-than-expected GDP could bolster the British pound, impacting forex pairs like GBP/USD and potentially lifting UK equities. Conversely, a disappointing number might trigger a sell-off, not just in the pound but across related markets. Keep an eye on the 1.30 level for GBP/USD; a break below could signal further weakness. Given the current economic climate, where inflation and interest rates are in focus, this GDP release is more than just a number—it’s a potential catalyst for broader market movements. Watch how institutional players react, as their positioning could set the tone for the rest of the week. 📮 Takeaway Watch for the UK GDP estimate on Thursday; deviations from expectations could lead to significant moves in GBP/USD and related markets.