FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEWUSD:The US Dollar weakened across the board to start the week following Trump’s escalation over Greenland. In fact, the US President threatened to impose 10% tariffs starting on February 1 on the UK, France, Germany and a few other European countries unless the U.S. is permitted to buy Greenland. The tariffs will rise to 25% from June 1 in case of no deal.As seen last year, risk-off moves caused by Trump’s tariffs stemmed from growth worries. Growth worries trigger a selloff in the stock market and in turn a fall in Treasury yields on expected future weakness in the economy. This in turn weighs on the greenback on expected earlier or larger rate cuts down the road. This is always taken in relation to the expectations. Given the recent rally in the USD on some slightly hawkish repricing, this latest escalation kind of unwinds those bets. If we were to get a de-escalation now, the US Dollar would probably rally again, and more so if the economic data in the next weeks and months strengthens. EUR:On the EUR side, the threat of tariffs on the largest European economies isn’t good news of course, but given the recent positioning, it weighed more on the greenback. The Fed has also much more room to cut rates compared to the ECB, which has already reached the neutral level and has inflation at target. In terms of monetary policy, the ECB remains in a neutral stance reaffirming its data-dependent and meeting-by-meeting approach to policy decisions. ECB members continue to repeat that the current policy is appropriate, and they won’t respond to small or short-term deviations from their 2% target. The data has been supporting the central bank’s neutral stance, with inflation data recently surprising to the downside.EURUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – DAILY TIMEFRAMEOn the daily chart, we can see that EURUSD opened lower today but eventually closed the gap and extended the gains into the downward trendline. We can expect the sellers to step in around these levels with a defined risk above the trendline to position for a drop into the 1.15 handle. The buyers, on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking higher to pile in for a rally into the 1.18 level next.EURUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – 4 HOUR TIMEFRAMEOn the 4 hour chart, we can see more clearly today’s price action with the pair struggling to extend the gains near the trendline. There’s not much we can add here as the sellers will look for short opportunities around these levels with a defined risk above the trendline, while the buyers will wait for a break above the trendline to start targeting new highs.EURUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – 1 HOUR TIMEFRAMEOn the 1 hour chart, we can see that the price is trading at the upper bound of the average daily range for today. This suggests that we might not see much more upside today and the price could either consolidate here or pull back. There’s a minor support zone around the 1.16 handle. If the price gets there, we can expect the buyers to step in with a defined risk below the support to position for a break above the trendline. The sellers, on the other hand, will look for a break lower to increase the bearish bets into new lows.UPCOMING CATALYSTSTomorrow we have the weekly US ADP jobs data. On Thursday, we get the latest US Jobless Claims figures. On Friday, we have the Eurozone and US Flash PMIs. Watch out also for headlines and Trump’s posts on Truth Social regarding Greenland as the market’s focus remains on this latest trade war. This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight The US Dollar’s recent weakness signals potential volatility ahead, and here’s why that matters: Trump’s threat to impose tariffs could escalate trade tensions, impacting not just the USD but also global markets. A weaker dollar often leads to higher commodity prices, which could benefit assets like gold and oil. Traders should keep an eye on the DXY index, especially if it breaks below key support levels. If the dollar continues to weaken, we might see a shift in risk sentiment, prompting investors to flock to safe havens. On the flip side, if the tariffs are perceived as a bluff, the dollar could rebound sharply, catching many off guard. Watch for reactions from major currency pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD, as they could provide clues about market sentiment. The next few days will be crucial for gauging how traders position themselves ahead of potential developments in this trade saga. 📮 Takeaway Monitor the DXY index closely; a break below key support could signal further dollar weakness, impacting commodities and risk sentiment.
Bitcoin Out, Gold In? Jefferies’ Shocking Treasury Shift Over These Fears
Jefferies has entirely removed its 10% Bitcoin allocation from its pension portfolio. Bitcoin delivered 325% returns since Jefferies added it in December 2020. The firm … 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Jefferies pulling its 10% Bitcoin allocation is a big deal for market sentiment. This move comes after Bitcoin’s impressive 325% return since late 2020, but it raises questions about future institutional interest. Removing such a significant position could signal a shift in risk appetite among institutional investors, especially as macroeconomic conditions remain uncertain. Traders should keep an eye on how this impacts Bitcoin’s price action in the short term, particularly if we see increased volatility or a shift in trading volume. If Bitcoin starts to break below key support levels, say around the recent lows, it could trigger further sell-offs as institutions reassess their strategies. On the flip side, this could also present a buying opportunity for retail traders if Bitcoin stabilizes and shows signs of recovery. Watch for any bounce back around psychological levels, as that could indicate renewed interest. Keeping tabs on institutional flows and sentiment will be crucial in the coming weeks. 📮 Takeaway Watch Bitcoin’s price closely; a drop below recent support levels could trigger further selling, while a bounce could signal renewed interest from retail traders.
Crypto Revenue Data Reveals a $5B Gap Between Top Protocol and #10 — Is Crypto’s Future Centralized?
Centralized and semi-centralized protocols capture over 64% of top-10 revenue, outpacing their decentralized counterparts. Tether leads with $5.2 billion in revenue in one year, far … 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Centralized protocols are dominating revenue, and here’s why that matters for ETH holders: With ETH currently at $3,223.85, the fact that centralized and semi-centralized platforms are pulling in over 64% of the top-10 revenue signals a potential shift in market dynamics. Tether’s impressive $5.2 billion revenue highlights the ongoing preference for stablecoins and centralized solutions, which could impact ETH’s adoption and price trajectory. If traders are looking for signs of where institutional money is flowing, this trend can’t be ignored. It suggests that while decentralized finance (DeFi) is still a hot topic, centralized solutions are gaining traction, possibly leading to a consolidation phase for ETH. On the flip side, this dominance could create a risk for ETH if it fails to capture more market share in the revenue game. Traders should keep an eye on ETH’s price action around key support levels, particularly if it approaches the $3,100 mark. A drop below this level could trigger further selling pressure, while a bounce could indicate renewed interest in decentralized solutions. Watch for any shifts in trading volume or sentiment around ETH as these centralized revenues continue to rise. 📮 Takeaway Monitor ETH closely around the $3,100 support level; a break could signal increased selling pressure amid centralized revenue dominance.
Is X Banning Crypto? Elon Musk Faces Backlash Over Tokenized Engagement Crackdown and AI Slop
X is cracking down on tokenized engagement. Traders claim the move is disrupting parts of “Crypto Twitter” and hitting related tokens. The policy shift comes amid … 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight X’s crackdown on tokenized engagement is shaking up Crypto Twitter, and here’s why that matters: This policy shift could lead to significant volatility in tokens tied to social engagement metrics. Traders are already feeling the impact, as related tokens are seeing price drops. The broader market context suggests that any disruption in social media engagement can ripple through the crypto ecosystem, affecting sentiment and trading volumes. If you’re holding tokens that rely on social media buzz, now’s the time to reassess your positions. Look for key support levels in these tokens; if they break below recent lows, it could trigger further selling. On the flip side, this might create a buying opportunity for those looking to capitalize on oversold conditions. Keep an eye on how major influencers react to this policy change—if they pivot to other platforms, it could further shift market dynamics. Watch for any announcements from X that might clarify or adjust these policies, as that could lead to sharp price movements. 📮 Takeaway Monitor support levels in engagement-related tokens closely; a break below recent lows could signal further declines, while potential oversold conditions may present buying opportunities.
Did Bitcoin Price Peak in 2025? Famed Analyst Casts Doubt on 2026 Growth
Analyst Benjamin Cowen says Bitcoin completed its post-halving cycle in Q4 2025. Cowen argues that while countertrend rallies are likely. The analyst said crypto’s risk-reward … 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Bitcoin’s post-halving cycle completion in Q4 2025 could reshape trading strategies now. Cowen’s assertion suggests that traders should brace for potential countertrend rallies, which could create both opportunities and risks. If Bitcoin’s price action aligns with historical patterns, we might see increased volatility as traders react to this news. The completion of a cycle often leads to profit-taking, which could push prices down temporarily before any significant upward movement. Keep an eye on key support levels—if Bitcoin holds above its recent lows, it could signal a buying opportunity for swing traders. However, if it breaks down, it might trigger stop-loss orders and further selling pressure. It’s worth noting that while mainstream narratives focus on bullish sentiment post-halving, the reality is that market psychology can shift quickly. Traders should monitor sentiment indicators and volume trends closely. Watch for Bitcoin’s price around critical levels, as these could dictate the next moves in the broader crypto market, including altcoins that often follow Bitcoin’s lead. The next few months will be crucial, so stay alert for any signs of trend reversals or sustained momentum. 📮 Takeaway Watch Bitcoin’s support levels closely; a break below recent lows could trigger further selling, while holding above may present buying opportunities.
Crypto Traders Under Threat? Another French Kidnapping Intensifies Safety Concerns
Kidnappings linked to crypto are increasing in France. Recent incidents have intensified industry safety concerns. Public exposure is emerging as a major risk factor. A … 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Kidnappings tied to crypto in France are raising alarms, and here’s why that matters: As incidents increase, the crypto industry faces heightened scrutiny, which could lead to regulatory crackdowns. Traders need to consider how this sentiment might impact market confidence and adoption rates. If public perception shifts negatively, it could deter institutional investments, affecting liquidity and volatility across major cryptocurrencies. Keep an eye on Bitcoin and Ethereum, as they often react to broader market sentiment. The ripple effects could also extend to related sectors like DeFi and NFTs, where safety concerns might stifle innovation and growth. On the flip side, this situation could present hidden opportunities for security-focused projects or platforms that prioritize user safety. If they gain traction, they might attract capital away from traditional assets. Watch for any regulatory announcements or public statements from major exchanges, as these could serve as catalysts for market movement. The next few weeks will be crucial for gauging how public sentiment evolves and its impact on trading strategies. 📮 Takeaway Monitor regulatory developments in France regarding crypto safety; they could significantly impact market confidence and liquidity in the coming weeks.
US-EU Tariff War Wipes Billions — Start of Crypto Winter 2026?
U.S.–EU tariff threats tied to Greenland triggered a sharp risk-off move, wiping billions from crypto markets. Bitcoin slid below $93,000 as leveraged positions unraveled and … 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Bitcoin’s drop below $93,000 is a wake-up call for traders: geopolitical tensions are back on the radar. The recent U.S.–EU tariff threats related to Greenland have sent shockwaves through the crypto markets, leading to a significant risk-off sentiment. This isn’t just a temporary blip; it highlights how external factors can rapidly influence crypto prices, especially when leveraged positions are involved. Traders should be cautious as this volatility can trigger cascading effects, particularly for altcoins that often follow Bitcoin’s lead. Keep an eye on the $90,000 support level—if it breaks, we could see further downside. But here’s the flip side: this could also present a buying opportunity for those looking to accumulate at lower levels. Historically, sharp drops have led to recoveries, but timing is everything. Watch for any signs of stabilization or bullish divergence on the daily charts, which could signal a potential reversal. For now, monitor news developments closely and be ready to adjust your positions accordingly. 📮 Takeaway Watch the $90,000 support level on Bitcoin; a break could lead to further declines, while stabilization may signal a buying opportunity.
Charles Hoskinson Slams Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse Over CLARITY Act Support
Charles Hoskinson criticized Brad Garlinghouse for accepting imperfect U.S. crypto regulation bills rather than fighting for better ones. The jab targeted Garlinghouse’s view, with Hoskinson … 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Hoskinson’s criticism of Garlinghouse highlights a growing divide in crypto leadership—here’s why that matters now. With regulatory clarity still a moving target in the U.S., Hoskinson’s stance suggests a potential shift in sentiment among key players. Traders should be wary of how this public dispute could influence market perception and investor confidence. If major figures in the crypto space are at odds over regulation, it could lead to increased volatility, particularly for assets tied to these leaders, like XRP and ADA. Watch for any shifts in trading volumes or price action in these tokens as sentiment evolves. On the flip side, Garlinghouse’s acceptance of current regulations might appeal to more risk-averse investors looking for stability. This could create a bifurcation in the market, where some traders lean towards assets perceived as compliant while others chase the potential upside of more aggressive projects. Keep an eye on how this narrative develops, especially as regulatory discussions progress in the coming weeks. 📮 Takeaway Monitor XRP and ADA closely; shifts in sentiment from this leadership clash could trigger volatility, especially if regulatory news surfaces.
EU says no planned meeting between von der Leyen and Trump in Davos for now
As a reminder, the World Economic Forum (WEF) is taking place in Davos this week. The event starts today until Friday but most of what we’ll be seeing on the agenda and on the sidelines are likely to take place from tomorrow onwards. You can check out the highlights of the agenda from earlier here: One last chance to preserve the old world order?With global leaders set to get together, it’s going to be a bit of an awkward one now after Trump just threatened tariffs against European countries over the Greenland situation. In his words, the tariffs will be on “any and all goods” unless “a deal is reached for the complete and total purchase of Greenland”. 🤪It will be a 10% levy starting from 1 February with it potentially jumping to 25% come 1 June after.For now, the EU is still very much planning its retaliatory actions. And von der Leyen has to bring something to the table in any discussions with Trump on the matter. As things stand, Trump wants to play things out such as that he holds all the cards. However, we all know that this is all part of his negotiating tactic. Go big in the first ask and then water things down after.That being said, the whole matter of Greenland might be a different situation than what we’ve seen before. So, we will have to see how serious this really is as compared to previous TACO episodes. Venezuela now serves as a precedent that anything goes.The EU is reaffirming that there is no planned meeting yet between von der Leyen and Trump but that “engagement with the US is still continuing on all levels”. Adding that intensive consultations are now taking place among member states on a possible response to the US’ tariffs threat. This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight The World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos is kicking off, and here’s why traders should pay attention: major economic discussions often lead to market volatility. With global leaders and influential figures gathering, any announcements or policy discussions could impact currencies and commodities. Traders should keep an eye on how these discussions might affect central bank policies, especially with inflation and interest rates still in focus. If any significant economic forecasts or geopolitical tensions arise, we could see sharp movements in forex pairs, particularly those tied to emerging markets. Additionally, the sentiment around crypto could shift depending on regulatory discussions that might emerge from the forum. If leaders signal a more favorable stance toward digital assets, we could see a bullish reaction in the crypto market. Watch for any news coming out of Davos that might influence market sentiment, especially in the next few days as discussions heat up. 📮 Takeaway Monitor announcements from the WEF for potential impacts on forex and crypto markets, especially regarding central bank policies and regulatory stances.
Trump escalates criticism of Fed chair, Italy warns ‘fin-fluencers’: Global Express
Trump escalates criticism of Fed chair Jerome Powell as the DOJ reviews renovation spending claims, while Italy and others tighten oversight of crypto markets. 🔗 Source 💡 DMK Insight Trump’s criticism of Powell could shake market confidence, and here’s why that matters: As the DOJ reviews spending claims, uncertainty around fiscal policy is rising. Traders should keep an eye on how this political pressure affects interest rates and the broader economic outlook. If Powell feels cornered, we might see a shift in monetary policy that could impact everything from equities to crypto. With Italy tightening crypto regulations, this adds another layer of complexity for traders in that space. The interplay between U.S. monetary policy and international regulatory moves could create volatility, especially for assets sensitive to interest rates. Watch for key economic indicators and Fed announcements in the coming weeks, as they could signal shifts in market sentiment. On the flip side, if Powell stands firm against political pressure, it could stabilize markets, but that’s a big ‘if’. Keep an eye on the S&P 500 and Bitcoin; both could react sharply to any Fed news. The next FOMC meeting is a critical date to watch, as traders will be looking for signals on rate hikes or pauses. 📮 Takeaway Monitor the upcoming FOMC meeting closely; any shift in Powell’s stance could lead to significant market volatility, especially in equities and crypto.