Australian Dollar (AUD) holds modest losses post-RBA decision to keep policy on hold, as widely expected. AUD was last at 0.6503 levels, OCBC’s FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note. 🔗 Read Full Article 💡 DMK Insight The RBA’s decision to maintain its policy is keeping the AUD under pressure, and here’s why that matters: With the AUD sitting at 0.6503, traders should be wary of the implications for both short and long positions. The RBA’s stance signals a cautious approach amid global economic uncertainties, which could lead to further weakness in the AUD if risk sentiment shifts. This decision aligns with broader trends where central banks are grappling with inflation and growth concerns. If the AUD breaks below key support levels, it could trigger stop-loss orders and exacerbate selling pressure. Look for potential resistance around 0.6550, which could serve as a shorting opportunity if the market fails to reclaim that level. Additionally, keep an eye on commodity prices, particularly iron ore, as they often correlate with the AUD’s performance. A downturn in commodities could further drag the AUD down, while any positive surprises in global economic data might offer a temporary lift. Traders should monitor the upcoming economic indicators closely, as they could provide insights into the RBA’s future moves and the AUD’s trajectory. 📮 Takeaway Watch for the AUD at 0.6503; a break below could signal further declines, especially if commodity prices weaken.
USD: Wait-and-see ahead of ADP – ING
This week is all about reassessing December Fed rate cut expectations. That process began with Chair Powell’s press conference last Wednesday and continues with FOMC member remarks and the limited data still being released, ING’s FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes. 🔗 Read Full Article 💡 DMK Insight Fed rate cut speculation is heating up, and here’s why SOL could be affected: As SOL trades at $161.75, the market’s focus on potential December rate cuts could create volatility across crypto and forex markets. If the Fed signals a more dovish stance, risk assets like SOL might see increased buying interest, especially if traders believe lower rates will boost liquidity. Conversely, if the Fed maintains a hawkish tone, SOL could face downward pressure as investors flee to safer assets. Keep an eye on FOMC member comments this week; any hints at a shift in policy could trigger significant price movements. Also, consider the broader implications for related assets. A dovish Fed could bolster not just SOL but also other altcoins and equities, while a hawkish stance might lead to a sell-off across the board. Watch for key technical levels around $150 and $170 for SOL, as these could serve as critical support and resistance points in the coming days. The real story is how traders react to Fed signals, so stay alert for any shifts in sentiment. 📮 Takeaway Monitor FOMC comments closely; SOL could swing significantly if December rate cut expectations change, especially around $150 and $170 levels.
DXY: FOMC disagreements become more apparent – Commerzbank
Following the blackout period and last week’s Fed meeting, the momentum behind officials’ statements continues to grow. 🔗 Read Full Article 💡 DMK Insight The Fed’s recent statements are stirring market momentum, and here’s why that matters: traders need to pay attention to how these signals could influence interest rates and market volatility. With the blackout period behind us, the Fed’s communication is back in focus, and any hints about future rate hikes or economic outlook could lead to significant price movements across various assets. If the Fed leans hawkish, expect pressure on equities and a potential strengthening of the dollar, which could also impact commodities and crypto markets. Look for key indicators like the upcoming CPI data and employment reports, as these will likely shape the Fed’s narrative moving forward. Traders should monitor the S&P 500 and USD pairs closely, as shifts in sentiment could create trading opportunities. If the S&P breaks below recent support levels, it could trigger a wave of selling, while a strong dollar might weigh on gold prices. Keep an eye on the next Fed meeting; any unexpected comments could lead to immediate volatility. 📮 Takeaway Watch for the Fed’s next statements and key economic indicators—market reactions could shift significantly, especially in equities and the dollar.
USD/JPY slides on verbal intervention, risk-off mood – ING
USD/JPY drops sharply as renewed verbal intervention from Japan’s finance minister and weaker global equities spark safe-haven demand and short-covering in Japanese Yen (JPY), ING’s FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes. 🔗 Read Full Article 💡 DMK Insight The USD/JPY’s sharp drop signals a critical shift in market sentiment driven by Japan’s intervention. Traders should pay close attention to the interplay between safe-haven demand for JPY and global equity performance. The recent comments from Japan’s finance minister indicate a readiness to act against excessive currency fluctuations, which could lead to increased volatility in the USD/JPY pair. If the JPY strengthens further, it could impact risk assets negatively, especially if global equities continue to falter. Watch for key support levels around the recent lows, as a breach could trigger more aggressive selling in USD/JPY. On the flip side, if the USD manages to regain strength, it could create a buying opportunity for those looking to capitalize on potential rebounds. Keep an eye on the broader economic indicators, including U.S. employment data and inflation metrics, as these will heavily influence the dollar’s trajectory in the coming weeks. 📮 Takeaway Monitor USD/JPY for potential support levels; a break below recent lows could signal further JPY strength amid ongoing global equity weakness.
AUD/NZD tests 2022 highs after breaking consolidation – Société Générale
AUD/NZD extends gains after breaking out of consolidation, testing resistance near 1.15 with support seen around the 50-DMA at 1.13, Société Générale’s FX analysts note. 🔗 Read Full Article 💡 DMK Insight AUD/NZD’s breakout is significant, and here’s why: it just cleared resistance at 1.15, which could signal a bullish trend. Breaking through this level suggests a shift in momentum, especially with support resting at the 50-day moving average (DMA) around 1.13. Traders should keep an eye on this support level; if it holds, we might see further upside. This move could also ripple through related pairs, like AUD/USD and NZD/USD, as traders reassess their positions based on the strength of the Aussie dollar. If the momentum continues, we could see a test of higher resistance levels in the coming days, making this a critical timeframe for swing traders. But don’t overlook the potential for volatility. If the pair fails to hold above 1.15, we could see a quick reversal back towards the 50-DMA, which would be a key area to monitor for potential short entries. Keep an eye on economic indicators from both Australia and New Zealand that could influence this pair’s trajectory. 📮 Takeaway Watch for AUD/NZD to hold above 1.15 for bullish momentum; a drop below 1.13 could signal a reversal.
EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Moves below confluence support zone around 177.00
EUR/JPY depreciates by more than 0.25% after remaining flat in the previous session, trading around 176.80 during the European hours on Tuesday. 🔗 Read Full Article 💡 DMK Insight EUR/JPY’s drop of over 0.25% signals potential volatility ahead. This depreciation comes after a period of stagnation, suggesting traders might be reacting to broader market sentiments or economic indicators. With the pair currently around 176.80, it’s crucial to watch for any further declines that could test support levels. A sustained move below this mark could trigger stop-loss orders and lead to a deeper sell-off. On the flip side, if the pair finds support here, it could bounce back, presenting a buying opportunity for swing traders. Keep an eye on related markets like EUR/USD and JPY/USD, as movements there could influence EUR/JPY’s trajectory. Watch for any economic data releases or geopolitical events that could impact the Euro or Yen, as these will likely affect trading strategies in the near term. 📮 Takeaway Monitor EUR/JPY closely around 176.80; a break below could signal further downside, while support here might offer a buying opportunity.
TRY: Inflation did not moderate convincingly – Commerzbank
Turkish CPI eased marginally to 32.9% on year-on-year basis, but the underlying month-on-month rate of price change did not moderate convincingly at all, Commerzbank’s FX analyst Tatha Ghose notes. 🔗 Read Full Article 💡 DMK Insight Turkey’s CPI easing to 32.9% might seem like good news, but the month-on-month figures tell a different story. Traders should be cautious; while the annual rate shows a slight decline, the stubborn month-on-month inflation indicates persistent price pressures. This could lead to continued volatility in the Turkish lira (TRY) as the Central Bank may feel pressured to adjust interest rates further. If inflation remains sticky, expect market participants to react, potentially pushing the lira lower against major currencies. Watch for key levels around recent support and resistance zones; a break below these could trigger further selling. On the flip side, if the lira stabilizes, it might present a buying opportunity for those looking to capitalize on a rebound. Keep an eye on upcoming economic indicators and central bank statements that could shift sentiment quickly. 📮 Takeaway Monitor the Turkish lira closely; if month-on-month inflation stays high, expect increased volatility and potential further depreciation against major currencies.
USD/KRW extends uptrend toward 1445 – Société Générale
USD/KRW maintains bullish momentum above the 200-DMA, with the uptrend targeting 1445 and potential extension toward 1457 if support at 1417 holds, Société Générale’s FX analysts note. 🔗 Read Full Article 💡 DMK Insight USD/KRW is holding strong above the 200-DMA, and here’s why that’s crucial right now: With the pair targeting 1445 and possibly extending to 1457, traders need to keep a close eye on the support level at 1417. If that holds, it could signal a sustained bullish trend, making it a prime opportunity for swing traders looking to capitalize on upward momentum. The broader market context shows a favorable environment for the Korean won, driven by recent economic data and geopolitical factors. However, if the support at 1417 fails, we could see a sharp reversal, so risk management is key. Watch for any shifts in sentiment from major players, as their moves can create cascading effects across related markets, especially in Asian currencies. On the flip side, if USD/KRW breaks below 1417, it could trigger stop-loss orders and lead to a rapid decline, so traders should be prepared for volatility. Keep an eye on economic releases that could impact the pair, particularly any shifts in U.S. monetary policy or South Korean economic indicators. The next few days will be critical for determining the short-term trajectory of this pair. 📮 Takeaway Monitor the support at 1417 closely; a hold could push USD/KRW towards 1457, while a break may lead to significant downside.
USD/JPY: Takaichi vs Katayama – OCBC
Japanese Yen (JPY) came under pressure this morning after PM Takaichi said she will put a growth strategy for the economy by next Summer. USD/JPY last seen at 154.53 levels, OCBC’s FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note. 🔗 Read Full Article
EUR/USD may have enough momentum to test 1.1490 – UOB Group
Euro (EUR) may just have enough momentum to test 1.1490 before the risk of a recovery increases. In the longer run, the next level to watch is at 1.1490, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note. 🔗 Read Full Article 💡 DMK Insight The Euro’s potential to test 1.1490 is crucial right now, as it could signal a shift in momentum. If the Euro breaks above this level, it might attract bullish sentiment, leading to further gains. Traders should keep an eye on the broader market context, especially how the Euro performs against the USD and other major currencies. A failure to hold above 1.1490 could trigger a pullback, making it essential to monitor for signs of recovery or weakness. This level is pivotal not just for the Euro but could also influence related assets like EUR/USD pairs. Watch for volatility around this level, as it could set the tone for the next few trading sessions. 📮 Takeaway Keep an eye on the 1.1490 level for the Euro; a break could lead to bullish momentum, while a failure may trigger a pullback.