Ethereum Technical Analysis with tradeCompass for Today (September 23, 2025)Bullish above: $4200 Bearish below: $4173 Current Price: $4199 Primary Bias: Neutral until one side confirms Partial Targets: $4208.5, $4231.5, $4287.5, $4497.5 (bullish) | $4144.5, $4120, $4065, $3970 (bearish)Ethereum Market Context and Directional BiasEthereum futures trade at $4188, in the middle of the range between the bullish threshold at $4200 and the bearish threshold at $4173. A sustained move above $4200 could open the door to a bullish sequence, while a drop below $4173 activates the bearish playbook.What qualifies as “sustained” depends on your style: some traders wait for 15 minutes above the threshold, others rely on secondary indicators, and some act on the first tick beyond the line. tradeCompass provides the map, and you choose the trigger.Until one side is activated, Ethereum remains neutral inside the $4173–$4200 range.Ethereum Market Backdrop: Declining Volume and What It Might MeanOver the last 24 hours, Ethereum is nearly flat (+0.10%) but trading volumes have fallen sharply by ~30%. This follows two days of declines and a small rebound attempt.A drop in trading activity after heavy selling can sometimes indicate that bearish pressure is cooling—panic-driven selling may have run its course, leaving room for stabilization. However, lower volume can also reflect apathy rather than new buying strength. That’s why the tradeCompass thresholds remain critical: confirmation above $4200 or below $4173 will tell us if the next directional wave is ready.Today’s Ethereum Futures Key Levels and Partial-Profit StrategyBullish Trade Plan (above $4200)First target: $4208.5, just under yesterday’s VWAP. Quick exit to manage risk.Second target: $4231.5, near today’s high. By default, move stops to breakeven here.Third target: $4287.5, linked to September 9th’s Value Area Low and prior liquidity.Final swing target: $4497.5, just under the $4500 psychological barrier.Bearish Trade Plan (below $4173)First target: $4144.5, just above yesterday’s Point of Control. Move stop to breakeven here.Second target: $4120, near today’s third lower VWAP deviation.Third target: $4065, further downside objective.Extended target: $3970, beneath yesterday’s low, for those seeking continuation.Educational Corner: Entry Confirmation and FlexibilityThe idea of a “sustained break” can be applied in different ways. Some traders demand multiple candle closes beyond a threshold, while others prefer immediate engagement. Both can work. The key is consistency—decide on your method and apply it systematically. tradeCompass is meant as a flexible framework to integrate with your own playbook.Trade Management RemindersOne trade per direction per tradeCompass.After TP2, stops move to breakeven to lock in gains and manage the runner.Place stops with a small buffer beyond your entry-side threshold—never past the opposite threshold, as that invalidates the setup.Use confirmation methods that match your risk style.Ethereum Technical Analysis ConclusionEthereum is hovering right at the line between bullish and bearish setups. The steep volume decline hints that sellers may be losing steam after recent declines, but confirmation is everything—$4200 for bulls, $4173 for bears. Until one side breaks, patience is the best position.tradeCompass Methodology PrinciplesDefines daily bullish/bearish thresholds.Encourages partial profit-taking at logical levels like VWAP, POC, VAH/VAL, or round numbers.Promotes disciplined stop placement linked to thresholds.Designed to support different trading styles and timeframes.One trade per direction keeps risk controlled.Disclaimer: This Ethereum technical analysis is for educational and decision-support purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves risk, and outcomes are never guaranteed. Always trade responsibly. Visit investingLive.com, formerly ForexLive.com, for additional views. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com. Source: investinglive.com (Read Full Article)

BoE’s Pill: We have seen more lasting changes to price and wage setting in UKUK September CBI trends total orders -27 vs -30 expectedAre capital flows really moving away from the US this year?BoE’s Pill: I wanted to keep QT at £100 billion in BoE vote last weekGold catches bids again in European morning tradeUK September flash services PMI 51.9 vs 53.5 expectedEurozone September flash services PMI 51.4 vs 50.5 expectedGermany September flash manufacturing PMI 48.5 vs 50.0 expectedFrance September flash services PMI 48.9 vs 49.6 expectedWhat are the main events for today?Gold looks poised to close out September in styleFX option expiries for 23 September 10am New York cutIt’s been a pretty slow session with just a few economic reports and limited newsflow. The main highlights were the Flash PMIs for Eurozone and the UK. The Eurozone PMIs were good, especially on the services side. HCOB wrote: “eurozone is still on a growth path. Manufacturing output has increased for the seventh month in a row, and business activity in the services sector has been expanding almost continuously since February 2024.”The UK PMIs, on the other hand, missed expectations across the board and were followed by a more downbeat assessment. S&P Global noted “September’s flash UK PMI survey brought a litany of worrying news including weakening growth, slumping overseas trade, worsening business confidence and further steep job losses. The only good news is perhaps that, just as the Bank of England grows increasingly worried about persistently elevated inflation, the PMI indicated that price pressures have moderated in September.”Lastly, we had BoE’s Chief Economist Pill speaking and despite acknowledging the slow pace of disinflation in the UK, he said that he was more comfortable now on balance of inflation risks than 6-12 months ago. Not sure what there is to be comfortable with UK’s inflation. Inflation has been much above target since 2021, underlying inflation has been going back up steadily since September 2024 and services inflation has been stuck around 5% for over a year.In the FX market, the reaction to the PMIs was relatively muted given that the ECB and BoE are now more focused on inflation. Nonetheless, the US dollar remained on the backfoot even though the changes were negligible. The focus remains on the US PMIs today, the US Jobless Claims on Thursday and the Fedspeak throughout the week, including Fed Chair Powell today.In other markets, US equities are mostly flat and have been trading sideways since yesterday’s close. US Treasuries have been consolidating since the last US Jobless Claims report as traders await more data. Bitcoin is ranging above the key $112,000 level after yesterday’s selloff. And gold made yet another all-time high reaching the $3,791 level before pulling back a bit. This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com. Source: investinglive.com (Read Full Article)