US-based crypto exchange Coinbase has made a significant appeal to the Department of Justice (DOJ) regarding a wave of lawsuits aimed at its operations. The company is urging federal action to address what it describes as an “increasingly fragmented and hostile” regulatory landscape for the crypto market. Coinbase Urges Federal Action  In a recent letter, Coinbase highlighted the steps taken by the current Administration to create a more equitable framework for digital asset regulation. This includes the introduction of stablecoin legislation and two pending bipartisan market-structure bills aimed at fostering uniformity in the oversight of cryptocurrencies.  Coinbase argues that these initiatives have begun to mitigate the adverse effects of the previous Administration’s enforcement-driven regulatory approach.  However, the company warns that certain states are perpetuating this problematic trend by adopting “expansive and flawed” interpretations of securities laws and implementing new licensing requirements that undermine the federal government’s pro-innovation stance. Related Reading: REX Shares Claims Its DOGE And XRP Spot ETFs Will Be Approved By US SEC Tomorrow They make an example with the Oregon Attorney General, who has filed a lawsuit against Coinbase, claiming that many digital assets traded on its platform qualify as alleged unregistered securities.  The letter affirms that the suit not only targets Coinbase but also encourages other states to address what the Attorney General perceives as a regulatory gap left by federal authorities.  Similarly, the New York Attorney General has initiated legal action to regulate transactions involving digital assets based on decentralized protocols as securities, further complicating the regulatory environment. Coinbase has faced cease-and-desist orders from four states, which demand the company halt its retail staking services. These orders are deemed by Coinbase as “legally unfounded and inconsistent.” Unified Framework For Digital Assets In light of these challenges, the letter to the DOJ calls for urgent federal intervention to establish broad preemption provisions. The crypto exchange argues that preemption has historically been an effective tool for addressing state interference in national markets, referencing past Congressional actions. Coinbase contends that the current patchwork of state regulations not only disrupts market efficiency but also leads to unequal access to cryptocurrency services based on geographic location. Related Reading: Citi’s Ethereum Forecast: No New All-Time High Expected, Year-End Target At $4,300 To remedy these issues, Coinbase advocates for Congress to adopt legislation that would exempt federally regulated digital assets from state blue-sky laws and clarify that state licensing requirements do not apply to crypto intermediaries.  Additionally, the company urges the SEC to expedite rulemaking and provide clearer guidance on why digital asset transactions and services, including staking, should not be classified as securities. Such clarity would help prevent states from imposing conflicting regulations based on their interpretations of securities laws. Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com Source: newsbtc.com (Read Full Article)

As the overall market continues to move sideways, Bitcoin (BTC) is attempting to reclaim its local range highs as support. After short-term volatility, fueled by the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) rate cut, the cryptocurrency could be poised to close the month on a positive note. Related Reading: BNB Chain Projects Lead Binance Wallet With 2,000x IDO Returns Bitcoin Nears Multi-Month Bullish Run On Wednesday, Bitcoin retested the $117,000 resistance for the first time in nearly a month before being rejected. The cryptocurrency has been hovering between the $107,000-$116,000 levels since late August, falling to the local lows at the start of September. Amid the retracement, investors expected to see another “Rektember,” as it has historically been one of BTC’s weakest months. Notably, CoinGlass data shows that BTC’s returns during September have mostly been red throughout the years, with an average negative return of 2.99%. However, the flagship crypto’s price has had a positive streak over the last two years, recording returns of 3.91% and 7.29% in 2023 and 2024, respectively. Analyst Crypto Jelle suggested that with less than two weeks of the month, Bitcoin appears to be setting up for a multi-month green run. Last week, BTC recovered from the early September dip, breaking out of the crucial $114,000 level and turning it into support during the weekend. As a result, the cryptocurrency currently has a positive return of 6.35%, its second-best September, according to the analytics platform. Jelle noted that “a green September has historically resulted in the next 2, 3, or even 6 consecutive months closing in the green too.” Based on this, he suggested that if Bitcoin keeps its positive performance for the rest of the month, “Q4 looks very promising for BTC.” BTC Retests Key Area Amid Volatility Analyst Rekt Capital pointed out that Bitcoin had a weekly Close above $114,000 and is retesting this area as support throughout this week’s pullbacks. This could lead to volatile downside wicks below this crucial level if this week’s close occurs above $114,000. On the contrary, failing to hold this level in the weekly timeframe could jeopardize BTC’s chances of a third price discovery uptrend. Overall, BTC needs to retest and hold $114k as support on the Weekly and any downside volatility below it would likely end up as a wick by the end of the week with the new Weekly Close. Multiple market watchers anticipated some volatility in the short term, as the Federal Reserve was expected to announce its first interest rate cut of the year. Altcoin Sherpa affirmed that “25bps is the expectation here” as “25 bps = Business as Usual but UP.” He added that this decision would likely result in a dip to the range lows or a choppy performance and “then higher in late Sept/ early October.” On Wednesday afternoon, the Fed lowered its rates by 25 basis points to a new range of 4.00% to 4.25%, marking the first rate cut since December 2024. Related Reading: Helius Joins Solana Treasury Trend With $500 Million Funding For New DAT Strategy “Recent indicators suggest that growth of economic activity moderated in the first half of the year. Job gains have slowed, and the unemployment rate has edged up but remains low. Inflation has moved up and remains somewhat elevated,” the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announcement reads. BTC retested the $114,000 support and $116,000 resistance immediately after the announcement, before stabilizing around the $115,500 level. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com Source: newsbtc.com (Read Full Article)

The US Federal Reserve cut the key interest rate by 0.25 points, with the change coming into effect at 2 PM ET. U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell gave a press conference on the same day, hinting the cut is a risk management move. He went on to say that ‘[…] a quarter point won’t make a huge difference to the economy,’ but that further cuts were inevitable. Bitcoin reacted with a slight dip to $116.2K, reflecting traders’ caution despite the cut going into effect. Overall, Bitcoin has been trading sideways, still trying to find support above $117K. With investors waiting for clearer signals from the Fed, Powell’s comments, although measured, create a possible bullish scenario for Bitcoin. If investors sense the Fed is leaving the door open for more cuts, this could be the push for a risk-on market and a rally, as seen in past cycles. Historically, Bitcoin has moved in tandem with risk assets, prompting traders to watch the Fed’s next move closely.  Meanwhile, analysts are feeling cautiously optimistic, keeping a close eye on $BTC’s support and resistance levels. If the Fed’s decisions boost Bitcoin, it could lift confidence across the market, driving more visibility, liquidity, and upside momentum for low-cap coins like Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER), which has already raised $16.5M in its presale. Could the Fed’s Interest Rate Cut Trigger the Next Big Bitcoin Boom? Historically, the Fed’s rate cuts have usually made borrowing cheaper, increasing traders’ risk appetite and encouraging them to invest in assets that yield high returns, including cryptocurrencies. In 2020, when the Fed cut rates by 0.25%, Bitcoin experienced a remarkable 1,600% surge throughout the year. Additionally, lower rates often make credit more affordable, creating favorable conditions for investments. This new capital can also trickle into the cryptocurrency market, starting with established assets like $BTC. Another effect of rate cuts is the reduced cost of funding, which eases liquidity stress for leveraged crypto traders as positions get repriced. Investors also tend to view rate cuts as a sign the economy is facing headwinds, which often drives Bitcoin to rally in the weeks that follow. Even if the reaction isn’t immediate, many believe that Bitcoin and similar assets can outperform once growth re-accelerates or inflation cools down. At the current inflation rate, Powell’s latest remarks keep crypto investors on edge. The silver lining is that Bitcoin’s supply is capped at 21M coins, positioning it as a hedge against inflation. While investors lose confidence in fiat currencies’ purchasing power during inflationary periods, capital often flows into scarce assets like $BTC. And as confidence in Bitcoin builds, newer related projects like Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) are positioned to soar. This presale’s momentum already reflects strong investor appetite for $BTC-linked growth plays. Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) – Expanding Bitcoin’s Ecosystem with a Layer-2 & Smart Contracts Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is a high-throughput Bitcoin Layer-2 (L2) that integrates the Solana Virtual Machine (SVM) for low-latency execution and smart contract integrations. Its decentralized canonical bridge enables seamless $BTC transfers between the Bitcoin L1 and the Hyper L2, where it unlocks access to DeFi, NFT marketplaces, and high-throughput dApps – all paid for using wrapped $BTC. $HYPER is the all-in-one juice for this ecosystem, fueling gas, staking, and governance. When the DAO goes live in Q1 2026, $HYPER will also be used to reward liquidity providers, validators, and developers on the same grind. Until then, the presale is still ongoing, with the token launch date set in Q4, 2025.  This is prime entry time to enjoy early access to $HYPER before major exchange listings, with front-row seats to 69% staking rewards and whitelist access as soon as the mainnet goes live. Bitcoin Hyper has already raised $16.5M+ in its presale, with the token now selling for $0.012935. The subsequent $HYPER price rise comes in less than 22 hours. Today’s entry price sits just below the listing price of $0.012975, giving early birds an edge. At this price level, a $100 investment today could secure you roughly 7,729 $HYPER tokens. With our Bitcoin Hyper price prediction forecasting a $0.02595 high by the end of 2025, your $100 investment could double in value due to price appreciation alone. Add in the 69% staking APY, and your bag compounds to roughly $339 by year-end — a 239% ROI. This makes $HYPER one of the best crypto to stake. However, note the staking APY is dynamic and could go down soon if more investors lock in their tokens. With our analysts projecting a 2x growth by 2025 and 6.6x in 2026, a timely entry could mean a nice potential profit as the ecosystem expands in Q1 next year. Join the $HYPER presale for the lowest price today. This is not financial advice. Please do your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies. Authored by Aaron Walker, NewsBTC — https://www.newsbtc.com/news/bitcoin-could-pump-after-rate-cut-bitcoin-hyper-rally/ Source: newsbtc.com (Read Full Article)

Over the years, different trends have emerged for the Bitcoin price depending on how the month ends, either in the green or in the red. September has been historically bearish, but the few times that the month has ended in the green, there have been bullish implications for the cryptocurrency. As this month is already shaping up to end in the green, this report takes a look at what has happened in previous years when the month of September has been green. Expect Bullishness From Bitcoin Price If September Closes Green In an X post, crypto analyst Rekt Fencer highlighted an interesting trend in the Bitcoin price when the month of September has been favorable. This trend has to do with what happened in the years when September closed in the green, ushering in an even more bullish month of October. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Turns Bullish Above $114,000 With Hidden Divergence Forming According to CryptoRank data, in the last 14 years, only five months of September have closed in the green. Out of these five instances, in four cases, the bullish close opened up a more bullish move for October. A close example is the last two years of 2023 and 2024, both seeing the months of September close in the green. September 2023 ended with a 3.99% gain for the Bitcoin price, and the next month saw Bitcoin rally 28.5% in response. A similar case was recorded in September 2024 after the Bitcoin price saw a gain of 7.11% and the subsequent month of October ended with an 11.2% gain for the cryptocurrency. Going further back, September 2015 ended with a 2.52% gain for the Bitcoin price, and then October 2015 saw a 33.1% gain. Similarly, September 2016 ended with a 5.94% Bitcoin price gain, and October 2016 saw a 14.9% gain. Only the year 2012 has seen a deviation from this trend, after a 13.1% close in September ended with a 9.96% loss in October. What Happens If This Trend Repeats? A reoccurrence of this trend would mean that the Bitcoin price could be headed for double-digit gains in the month of October. So far, the cryptocurrency is already seeing gains of 6.24% and if this holds, then the bulls could establish a stronghold for a continuation next month. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Eyes 1,250% Surge To $3.5 – Here’s The Roadmap Add in the fact that the month of October is one of the most bullish months in the history of Bitcoin, and it is already brewing a recipe for success. There is still the possibility of a price decline as profit-taking could ramp up quickly at these levels. However, with institutional inflows on the rise, the Bitcoin price could see a favorable last quarter of the year. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com Source: newsbtc.com (Read Full Article)

BNB Chain (BNB) has reached a historic milestone after its native token, BNB, broke past the $1,000 mark for the first time. The achievement comes on the heels of the Federal Reserve’s decision to cut interest rates by 25bps, a move widely seen as supportive for risk assets. The broader crypto market quickly responded, entering what many analysts describe as a new, more constructive phase with optimism for the weeks ahead. Related Reading: Bitcoin Advanced Sentiment Signals Bullish Edge As Traders Eye Fed Pivot The milestone carries symbolic weight, marking BNB’s transformation from a utility token to one of the most valuable assets in the digital economy. The surge reinforces Binance’s dominance as the largest exchange by trading volume, while highlighting the platform’s growing ecosystem, which continues to expand across DeFi, payments, and blockchain infrastructure. Co-founder Changpeng Zhao (CZ) reflected on the moment in a post on X, writing: “Watching BNB go from $0.10 ICO price 8 years ago to today’s $1000 is something words cannot explain. I, not representing any entity or title, as just a community member and a #BNB holder, thank everyone in the BNB and crypto ecosystem, for your support.” BNB Chain (BNB) Enters Uncharted Territory With Momentum BNB chain’s native token has surged more than 65% since June, cementing its position as one of the strongest performers in the current bull cycle. What makes this rally particularly notable is its relative strength against the broader market, a trend that began in late 2023 and has only accelerated in recent months. While many altcoins experienced prolonged corrections and uneven recoveries, BNB has consistently defended key levels, building a resilient foundation for its breakout past the $1,000 milestone. With a market capitalization of around $140 billion, BNB has secured its spot as the 5th largest cryptocurrency in the world, surpassing long-time competitors and reaffirming its status as a cornerstone of the digital asset ecosystem. This remarkable achievement highlights the token’s dual role: as both a utility asset within Binance’s vast ecosystem and as a store of value increasingly favored by institutional and retail investors. The coming weeks are expected to be decisive as BNB enters uncharted price territory. Optimism surrounding the market is high, with analysts pointing to the favorable macroeconomic backdrop—most recently reinforced by the Federal Reserve’s 25bps rate cut—as a catalyst for further growth. However, entering new highs also brings challenges, as volatility often spikes in discovery zones. Related Reading: Solana Sees Institutional Accumulation: 413,075 SOL Moved Off Exchanges In Hours BNB Price Action Details – Weekly Structure BNB has officially reached the historic $1,000 milestone, marking a powerful continuation of its multi-month uptrend. The weekly chart shows a clean breakout from prior resistance zones, with momentum accelerating over the past several weeks. This surge highlights strong demand and institutional accumulation, especially following the Fed’s 25bps rate cut, which has acted as a catalyst for renewed optimism across the market. The chart reveals a well-structured rally with BNB consistently respecting its 50-week moving average, which now acts as a reliable dynamic support around $680. Both the 100-week ($572) and 200-week ($443) moving averages are trending higher, underscoring the token’s long-term strength and confirming a bullish market structure. Importantly, the recent breakout places BNB in uncharted territory, leaving price discovery as the next phase. Related Reading: Whale Unstakes 2M HYPE After 9 Months – $89.8M Profit On The Line While momentum remains clearly bullish, traders should be mindful that vertical rallies often invite profit-taking and volatility. A healthy consolidation above $950–$1,000 would strengthen the breakout and provide a new base for continuation. Conversely, if selling pressure intensifies, support levels around $850 and $780 could be retested. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView Source: newsbtc.com (Read Full Article)

Ethereum is approaching a decisive phase that could carry it into five-figure territory, according to a multi-timeframe analysis from trader Cantonese Cat (@Cantonmeow). Ethereum Ready To Smash All-Time Highs In a video published today, the analyst argues that ETH has cleared a cluster of late-cycle resistances and is now exhibiting a confluence of technical signals—on monthly, weekly, daily, and intraday charts—that “favor some of the higher targets to be met, maybe 1.272, 1.414, 1.618, anywhere around potentially five figures.” These Fib levels would put ETH at $7,752, $9,883 and $14,011 respectively. On the monthly chart, the analyst centers his case on the log-scale Fibonacci structure and volatility regime. ETH, he says, spent months stalling around the 0.886 retracement near $4,000—the same zone that repeatedly repelled the market in prior attempts—but “last month, we had the break through that here, convincingly.” Related Reading: Ethereum Rally Stalls As Spot And Perpetual Volumes Flatten On Binance He notes that the wick of the latest push already poked above the wick from the November 2021 peak, reinforcing the idea that supply at the former top is thinning. Simultaneously, the monthly Bollinger Bands are expanding while price “is impulsively going to the upside here along with the upper Bollinger Band,” a backdrop he describes as consistent with trend acceleration rather than mean reversion. “It does favor some of the higher targets to be met,” he said, while stressing sequencing: “We need to kind of break above the previous all-time high here first before we can actually talk about moving further up.” A second pillar of the bullish thesis is the Ichimoku profile across cycles—specifically the fusion of Tenkan-sen (conversion line) and Kijun-sen (base line). “When you have the Tenkan and Kijin fused together and price is riding up along with it, this fusion over here is called Katana,” he explained. Historically, he said, this “precipitates a big move,” and with price now above the Katana, “the Katana is shooting the price up.” On the current structure: “We got a Katana here being built up and price is currently impulsively going to the upside, so that is also favorable for Ethereum.” On the weekly timeframe, Cantonese Cat frames ETH’s advance through a three-cycle template defined by a “cycle liquidity zone” acting as a pivot. Each prior cycle saw deviations above and below a governing trend line before a sustained move once the zone was recaptured. He places the present consolidation directly on that blueprint: after breaking the “$4,000 liquidity level,” ETH is “consoling sideways… trying to find some energy before breaking up higher.” A back-test is possible but not required, he said; the “primary case” remains continuation unless the chart invalidates. Lower Timeframe Signals The lower timeframes, in his view, are already aligning with that outcome. On the daily chart, he highlights a developing “Adam and Eve continuation pattern” nested within a classic cup-and-handle, where “the handle… volume is not that great,” which he views as textbook, followed by “a pretty decent volume bullish engulfing candle.” Measured against log-scale retracements, price was rejected at 0.786, found support at 0.5, and is now “trying to break through 0.6… work our way back… to 0.786,” a rhythm he says “is being respected pretty decently.” He also points to a short-term bottoming sequence—“you can see something called a tweezer bottom… if you have anywhere around two or three of these kind of wick sticking down like that, that’s usually a pretty decent bottom”—and a three-candle “morning star” reversal: “It’s a reversal pattern and it could end up leading to a reversal here… seems to be working out pretty well.” Related Reading: Citi’s Ethereum Forecast: No New All-Time High Expected, Year-End Target At $4,300 On the 12-hour chart, he reads the structure as reaccumulation in a Wyckoff sense, referencing the “rounded bottom,” a strengthening secondary test—“the ST is higher than the VCLX”—and the emergence of a “creek” overhead that price appears ready to vault. “It does look like a reaccumulation type pattern… showing some strength… consolidating sideways… to reaccumulate before [a] bullish continuation,” he said, adding that after the prior vertical leg, digestion at elevated levels is constructive. Relative-strength diagnostics, he argues, reinforce the ETH-led narrative. Ethereum’s market-share gauge (ETH.D) “has broken above the Ichimoku cloud… with strength,” then “back-tested the cloud for about four weeks,” and may be waiting for the Tenkan to “rise… as support” before the next leg. On a monthly volatility basis, he adds, “the 20-month moving average was reclaimed… and we simply spent a month here back-testing” it—evidence that dominance could trend higher if the back-test holds. “That’s basically meaning that Ethereum wants to continue to outperform the rest of the cryptocurrency market here for [the] foreseeable future,” he said. Breadth indicators outside of ETH also tilt risk-on in his framework. The Total3 index (total crypto market cap excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum) is “trying to break above and form an all-time high” on a monthly “cup and handle” structure, while the “Others” index (market cap excluding the top 10 coins) has punched through the 0.786 level on the weekly and is “gravitat[ing]… to the next level, the 0.886.” He emphasizes the distinction between log and linear retracements, noting a failed linear 0.886 breakout in a prior attempt: “If we were to break above the linear, as well as the log 0.886 here with style, then I think Others would end up performing extremely well and would end up following the footsteps of Ethereum.” His conclusion is unambiguous: “I am bullish on Ethereum. I’m bullish on altcoin. I’m bullish on the cryptocurrency market space in general.” At press time, ETH traded at $4,565. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com Source: newsbtc.com (Read Full Article)

Jack Mallers, co-founder and CEO of Twenty One Capital, told NYSE TV that he expects Bitcoin to climb much higher from current levels. Related Reading: FalconX Moves 413K Solana Worth $98M – Impact On SOL Price According to Mallers, the size of global wealth available for savings gives Bitcoin room to grow in a big way. He made the bold remark that Bitcoin could be “100 to 200 times from here,” and his firm’s buying behavior appears to follow that view. Analyst’s 200x Bitcoin Claim According to Mallers, total global wealth across assets like stocks, property, gold and art is about $900 trillion. He argued roughly $400–500 trillion of that is used mainly as savings.   Right now, Mallers said, Bitcoin’s market value sits near $2 trillion. At the price cited in reports — about $115,570 per coin — he sees a path for dramatic expansion if Bitcoin captures only a slice of that savings market. Jack Mallers says, “#Bitcoin will 200x from here.” “Bitcoin is going after a $400-500 trillion market, and it’s only $2 trillion.” pic.twitter.com/urpR8HelFO — Maestro (@GoMaestroOrg) September 16, 2025 Twenty One Capital’s Buying Strategy Reports have disclosed that since April, Twenty One Capital has acquired 43,514 BTC, a haul worth roughly $5 billion at current prices. The firm has backing from players such as Tether, Bitfinex, and SoftBank, and it plans to merge with SPAC Cantor Equity Partners to pursue a public listing. Mallers’ team has been buying aggressively, and the stash already exceeded the firm’s initial target by about 1,500 BTC. How Other Big Names See Bitcoin Several high-profile figures have also made bullish calls, and their forecasts are often cited alongside Mallers’ views. According to public remarks, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink has suggested Bitcoin could reach $700,000. Anthony Scaramucci of SkyBridge has said he expects Bitcoin to hit about $200,000 by the end of 2025. Bill Barhydt, CEO of Abra Global, has outlined a base-case of $350,000 and a more aggressive scenario as high as $700,000. These estimates differ in timing and method, but they share a common theme: large upside is possible if demand and adoption keep rising. Related Reading: XRP’s Biggest Rally Yet? Analyst Projects $20+ In October 2025 Where Twenty One Capital Fits In Based on reports, Mallers’ firm is joining a larger group of companies that hold Bitcoin as a reserve asset. Michael Saylor’s Strategy has accumulated 638,985 BTC — a figure that dwarfs most other corporate treasuries and is valued near $74 billion. Mining companies such as MARA Holdings hold about 52,477 BTC. One important contrast is funding approach: Strategy leaned on debt to build its position, while Twenty One Capital has avoided that route so far. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView Source: newsbtc.com (Read Full Article)

The Federal Reserve’s first rate cut of 2025 has landed—25 basis points on September 17—and, in Trader Mayne’s telling, that removes the last macro “X-factor” hanging over the crypto market. In a video analysis posted the same day, the veteran price-action trader argued that with the policy move now in the rear-view mirror, crypto can “just focus on the charts,” sketching a roadmap in which Bitcoin posts one more leg higher into new all-time highs before a pullback ushers in a classic altseason blow-off. “We had FOMC today and the rates got cut finally… It’s 25 basis points,” he said. “Now the market’s going to digest it.” Where Is Bitcoin Price Going Next? The policy backdrop he’s reacting to is straightforward: the FOMC lowered the fed funds target range by a quarter point to 4.00%–4.25% on Sept. 17, with Chair Jerome Powell describing the move as a risk-management response to weakening labor dynamics and leaving the door open to additional easing this year. The decision drew an 11–1 vote, with newly appointed Governor Stephen Miran dissenting in favor of a larger, 50 bps cut—an unusually hawkish dissent in a dovish direction—while the Board’s implementation note reset key administered rates effective Sept. 18. Markets read the statement and projections as signaling scope for further cuts into year-end. Related Reading: Crucial Ten Days Ahead For Crypto: Will They Ignite Mega Altcoin Season? From here, Mayne’s framework is unapologetically technical. He characterizes Bitcoin’s most recent upswing as corrective relative to the prior impulse and expects price to “push above the mid-range” toward a range high around $120,000–$121,000, where he will watch for rejection at a higher-time-frame confluence defined by a weekly swing-failure pattern (SFP) and an H12 breaker. If momentum stalls there, he plans to short into a washout to clear out built-up leverage—“HYPE made another all-time high today. PUMP has tripled in the last two weeks… there’s some leverage in the system”—and then buy the dip for what he calls the last parabolic leg of the cycle. “Any sort of dip on BTC, I want to be looking for a long,” he said, adding that a shallow retest in the $110,000–$111,000 area or a deeper sweep of recent lows would both be acceptable springboards if the rebound is decisive. If, instead, price grinds through the $120,000 s with no signs of exhaustion, Mayne says he has “no problem” flipping to breakout longs above the all-time high once strength is confirmed intraday—an approach that mirrors his playbook from prior expansions (“Once this thing broke out aggressively… you’re looking for longs”). He emphasizes sequence over prediction: the short he’s eyeing is counter-trend—“a pullback in an uptrend”—and the prime objective remains to position for the next impulsive advance. When Will The Crypto Market Top? Timing-wise, he situates the prospective cycle top in Q4 2025 or Q1 2026, describing a pattern in which Bitcoin’s final vertical leg into the $150,000 to $180,000 region is followed by distribution while altcoins reprice higher—the archetypal altseason. “This parabolic leg I think would be the last leg of the bull run,” he said, before outlining notional alt targets consistent with a late-cycle melt-up: Ethereum $5,000–$7,000, Solana $300–$500, Dogecoin $0.50–$0.70. The mechanics, as he narrates them: a last BTC push, a corrective wash, a V-shaped reclaim of the 2024 ATH “very quickly,” then Q4 “mania” with breadth shifting to large-cap alts as Bitcoin distributes. Related Reading: December 2024 Crypto Crash Signal Returns As Altcoins Go Wild The technical scaffolding behind that view leans on concepts familiar to discretionary price-action traders. Weekly SFPs (failed breaks of prior extremes) set the trap line at range edges; H12 breakers and order blocks frame high-probability reaction zones; and fair-value gaps guide where liquidity vacuums might fill during a corrective flush. On structure, he insists the weekly trend remains up, so any short is tactical and any deeper dip must resolve in a swift V-bottom and reclaim of the former highs to keep the cyclical script intact. His invalidation is equally clear: “If we spend any significant time back below [the 2024 all-time high], it’s really bad… I’m probably going to reassess my thoughts.” Macro, in Mayne’s view, now recedes to the background. The rate cut may have helped pull forward some September strength—“you could argue… the up move we’ve seen on Bitcoin… is in anticipation of this rate cut”—but with the decision made and Powell hinting there “could be another one… there could be two,” his emphasis is squarely on execution: wait for price to trade into the $120,000s and signal weakness for the clean counter-trend short; or, absent weakness, wait for the breakout continuation and ride it. Either way, he’s explicit about the north star for the coming weeks: “Focus on Bitcoin… Any sort of dip on BTC, I want to be looking for a long… Then altseason.” At press time, BTC traded at $117,176. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com Source: newsbtc.com (Read Full Article)