Bitcoin flashed a short-term “buy” signal that previously marked the $49,000 and $74,000 swing lows, according to on-chain analyst Frank (@FrankAFetter), a quant at Vibe Capital Management. “Officially got the Oversold print on the short-term holder MVRV bollinger bands,” he wrote on X, pointing to prior occurrences during the “Yen Carry Unwind” around $49,000 and the “Tariff Tantrum” near $74,000, adding a third instance “Today – $108k. The metric in focus blends the short-term holder market-value-to-realized-value (STH-MVRV) ratio with Bollinger Bands to capture when newer coins trade at statistically depressed valuations versus their cost basis. In the chart Frank shared, the STH-MVRV Bollinger oscillator probed the oversold threshold that previously aligned with local exhaustion of selling. Related Reading: Bitcoin Mirrors Historical Pullback Ranges – Healthy Correction Or Trouble Ahead? More Reasons To Be Bullish For Bitcoin On a companion panel, the STH-SOPR gauge—spent-output profit ratio for coins younger than roughly 155 days—remains below 1.0, signaling that recent buyers are realizing losses into the tape rather than profits. “Short-term holders (top buyers) are in pain & realizing losses,” Frank noted, emphasizing that “STH-SOPR is not high!” Positioning has also turned cleaner in derivatives. “Longs got ‘delevered’ every day last week—that’s seven straight days of magic blue dots,” he said, describing persistent long liquidations and balance-sheet shrinkage among leveraged bulls. He is now “watching for the flip: when they give up and start shorting with leverage (exactly at the wrong time), providing fuel for a potential relief squeeze.” Macro context may be additive, in his view. “Gold hit new highs last week. ‘Gold leads, bitcoin follows.’ The yellow metal often looks around corners, and it might be sniffing out the debasement trade headed into 2026 as the administration stokes the economy for mid-terms,” he wrote, suggesting a potential catch-up dynamic if Bitcoin lags the move in bullion. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whale Dumps Billions For ETH, But $5 Billion Selloff Still Looms Risk markers remain clearly defined. Frank pegs the short-term holder realized price—an aggregate cost basis for recent coins—at $108,800. “If BTC breaks down below the short-term holder cost basis of $108.8k, it may want to investigate demand at the 200-day moving average, which sits at $101k.” That layered support map frames the oversold print as a tactical signal inside a still-intact longer-term uptrend, but it also acknowledges that violations of STH cost basis can extend tests toward the cycle’s primary trend gauge. Taken together, the confluence of these signals presents a strong confluence, according to Frank. Whether history rhymes again will hinge on spot demand emerging above short-term cost basis and on whether any shift toward aggressive shorting provides the fuel for a squeeze. As Frank summarized, “If we are in a bull market—and I believe we are—this is the kind of behavior that typically sets the stage for the next leg higher.” At press time, BTC traded at $111,382. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com Source: newsbtc.com (Read Full Article)

Cardano price started a fresh recovery from the $0.780 zone. ADA is now rising and might attempt a clear move above the $0.840 zone. ADA price started a decent upward move from the $0.780 support zone. The price is trading above $0.8120 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a short-term contracting triangle with resistance at $0.8250 on the hourly chart of the ADA/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend gains if it clears the $0.840 resistance zone. Cardano Price Eyes Steady Increase After a sharp decline, Cardano found support near the $0.780 zone and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. ADA was able to surpass the $0.80 and $0.8250 resistance levels. Besides, there was a break above a short-term contracting triangle with resistance at $0.8250 on the hourly chart of the ADA/USD pair. Finally, the price traded close to the $0.840 level. A high was formed at $0.0.8395 and the price is now consolidating above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $0.7822 swing low to the $0.8395 high. Cardano price is now trading above $0.8250 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $0.840 zone. The first resistance is near $0.860. The next key resistance might be $0.90. If there is a close above the $0.90 resistance, the price could start a strong rally. In the stated case, the price could rise toward the $0.980 region. Any more gains might call for a move toward $1.00 in the near term. Another Decline In ADA? If Cardano’s price fails to climb above the $0.840 resistance level, it could start another decline. Immediate support on the downside is near the $0.0.8250 level. The next major support is near the $0.0.8180 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $0.7822 swing low to the $0.8395 high. A downside break below the $0.8180 level could open the doors for a test of $0.780. The next major support is near the $0.750 level where the bulls might emerge. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ADA/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for ADA/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $0.8180 and $0.7800. Major Resistance Levels – $0.8400 and $0.9000. Source: newsbtc.com (Read Full Article)

Strategy, the largest Bitcoin (BTC) treasury company formerly known as MicroStrategy, has reinforced its vision to accumulate Bitcoin by acquiring nearly $450 million worth of the market’s leading cryptocurrency.  This move comes as the firm’s co-founder, Michael Saylor, remains optimistic about the digital asset’s long-term potential, even in the face of recent price corrections that have seen Bitcoin dip over 10% below its all-time highs. Strategy Continues Bitcoin Buying Spree In a recent update shared on X (formerly Twitter), Saylor revealed that Strategy acquired 6,048 Bitcoin for a total price of $449.3 million between August 26 and September 1, 2025.  This latest purchase adds to the firm’s substantial holdings, which now total 636,505 BTC, acquired at an average cost of approximately $73,765 per Bitcoin, amounting to an investment of around $46.95 billion. Related Reading: Dogecoin Bull Run Could Start On September 13, Analyst Predicts Saylor also highlighted that Strategy has achieved a Bitcoin yield of 25.7% year-to-date (YTD). Additionally, the firm provided updates on its at-the-market offering programs, which included the sale of various preferred shares and common stock, generating significant net proceeds.  This includes 199,509 shares of 8.00% Series A Perpetual Strike preferred stock for $19 million, 237,931 shares of 10.00% Series A Perpetual Strife preferred stock for $26.5 million, and 1,237,000 shares of MSTR for $425.3 million. The aggressive investment strategy employed by Saylor’s firm has inspired other public companies to explore similar avenues. Strategy has been a trailblazer in this space, being one of the first publicly traded companies to adopt Bitcoin as a primary treasury asset.  This growing trend is bolstered by favorable regulations and initiatives stemming from President Donald Trump’s administration, which have facilitated broader adoption of these assets, including altcoins like Ethereum (ETH), Binance Coin (BNB) and XRP.  Metaplanet Becomes Seventh-Largest BTC Holder A notable example of this investment shift by public companies is Metaplanet, often referred to as “Japan’s MicroStrategy.” The company has approved a plan to sell up to 550 million new shares overseas, aiming to raise approximately 130.3 billion yen ($884.41 million) to finance additional Bitcoin purchases.  Once a hotel operator, Metaplanet has pivoted to focus on cryptocurrencies, inspired by Saylor’s approach. Founder and CEO Simon Gerovich liquidated most of the company’s hotel assets, which had been struggling due to the COVID-19 pandemic, redirecting those funds into Bitcoin starting in April 2024. Related Reading: Is XRP A Meme Coin? Analyst Reveals How Whales Are Playing The Game Metaplanet’s strategy has proven effective, as it has become the seventh-largest holder of Bitcoin among public treasuries globally, according to BitcoinTreasuries.net data. The company recently announced on Monday the addition of 1,009 BTC to its total, bringing its holdings to 20,000. Its stock, MTPLF, has experienced a surge of about 740% YTD, currently valued at $5.82 per share.  Strategy’s stock, under the ticker symbol MSTR, is trading at $343 as of this writing, up 2.5% from Monday’s price. Meanwhile, Bitcoin trades at $111,630, up 2% in the last 24 hours. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com  Source: newsbtc.com (Read Full Article)

On-chain data shows the Bitcoin Exchange Reserve has witnessed a spike recently, a sign that could be bearish for the asset’s price. Bitcoin Exchange Reserve Has Hit A Multi-Month High In a new post on X, CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has talked about the latest trend in the Exchange Reserve of Bitcoin. The “Exchange Reserve” refers to an on-chain indicator that keeps track of the total amount of the cryptocurrency that is sitting on the wallets attached to centralized exchanges. When the value of the metric goes up, it means the investors are making net deposits of the asset to these platforms. Generally, one of the main reasons why holders would transfer their coins into the custody of exchanges is for selling-related purposes, so this kind of trend can have bearish consequences for the BTC price. Related Reading: Toncoin (TON) Heading For A 50% Price Move, Analyst Explains Why On the other hand, the indicator witnessing a decline suggests investors are taking out a net number of tokens from the exchanges. Such a trend can be a sign that the holders want to hold their BTC into the long term, which can naturally be bullish for the asset’s value. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Exchange Reserve over the history of the cryptocurrency: As is visible in the above graph, the Bitcoin Exchange Reserve peaked in late 2024 and saw a reversal to a downtrend, indicating that investors switched to net withdrawals. The decline in the metric was persistent, but very recently, another turnaround has finally occurred, with the indicator shooting up instead. Its value has now reached the 3.383 million BTC mark, which is the highest that it has been in a few months. “This signals a shift in trader behavior,” notes Maartunn. “More coins moving to exchanges often precedes increased selling pressure.” The deposit spree from the investors has come alongside a period of bearish action in the Bitcoin price. It now remains to be seen whether these exchange inflows would extend the drawdown. Related Reading: Bitcoin Finds Support At Short-Term Holder Cost Basis, But For How Long? Speaking of the price decline, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has discussed about how this plunge compares against past ones in terms of the BTC supply in loss. As displayed in the chart, only 9% of the Bitcoin supply is in loss following the price drawdown. The maximum loss among these underwater coins is also currently just 10%. As Glassnode explains, In contrast, the local bottom of this cycle saw >25% of supply at up to 23% losses, and global bear markets have reached >50% supply with up to 78% losses. This dip remains relatively shallow. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $111,200, up 2% over the last 24 hours. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com Source: newsbtc.com (Read Full Article)